Showing posts with label Limit your loss. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Limit your loss. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Limit your loss to 7% - 8% | IBD-university

 To make money in stocks, you must protect the money you have. Live to invest another day by following this simple rule: Always sell a stock it if falls 7%-8% below what you paid for it. No questions asked.

This basic principle helps you cap your potential downside. And it's the simplest way to make sure you never let a small loss become a BIG one.

Why 7%-8%? The 7%-8% sell rule is based on our ongoing study covering over 130 years of stock market history.
Even the best stocks will sometimes break out and then drop to slightly below their ideal buy point. When they do, they typically do not fall more than 8% below it. If your stock does decline more than 8% it usually means something is wrong with your chosen entry point, the company, its industry, the general market or all of the above.

Sometimes you'll know the reason. Other times you won't. But you do know the stock is dropping, and you're sitting on a 7%-8% loss. You must immediately shift into capital-preservation mode and cut that loss short.

Once a stock begins to plunge dangerously there's no telling where the bottom is. Limit your loss to 7% or 8% and get out. Imagine an ax hurtling through the air coming right at you. Would you stand there trying to figure things out? Just step aside.

Your #1 priority is to preserve capital. Sell first, ask questions later.

Applying the 7%-8% Sell Rule If you buy a stock at 100 and it falls to 92 or 93, sell it. But if that stock rises to 150, and then slips 8% to $138, that does not trigger this particular sell rule, because the stock is still trading above your purchase price. (Of course, you may want to check to see if the stock is flashing any other warning signs and sell signals.)

The 7%-8% Sell Rule in Action Below are examples of why it's important to cut all losses quickly.

What If You Sell and the Stock Rebounds and Moves Higher? There may be times when you sell a stock at a 7%-8% loss, only to see it bounce back and climb higher. While that can be frustrating, be sure to keep things in perspective. Normally if you buy correctly and your stock and the general market are acting well, your stock will not fall 7%-8% below the proper buy point.

So when the stock does trigger that sell rule, take action. Its behavior is telling you something isn't right.

Even if you sell at an 8% loss and the stock quickly rebounds, that doesn't mean you made the wrong decision. You were proactively protecting your portfolio. Taking a small loss from time to time is like paying an insurance premium to make sure you don't suffer a devastating hit. And you can always buy a stock back if it once again shows strength.

Sometimes Sell Even Sooner The maximum loss you should allow is 7%-8%. That's especially true if the stock shows other warning signs and sell signals. Also, in a particularly weak or volatile market environment, you may choose to limit your loss, say, at a 3%-5%.

As we saw in the section on Market Direction, your stocks do not operate in a vacuum. The trend of the overall market has a significant pull on virtually all stocks. That's why it's critical to always view your stocks within the context of the general market. Are we in the early or later stages of a bull market cycle? Is the uptrend starting to weaken and show signs of rolling over into a correction (i.e., downtrend)?

These and other market-related factors help you decide what action to take. See Market Direction for tips and tools on how to quickly gauge overall market health.

Friday, June 23, 2023

Cut loss | IBD-university | 2023 biggest lesson

 

Still The No. 1 Rule For Stock Market Investors: Always Cut Your Losses Short


In the battle for investment survival, you can learn a lot from judo. The first and most important lesson in that martial art is the same for the stock market today: damage control.

Judo masters begin not by learning how to throw, but how to fall. They practice this skill until it's as natural as breathing. No matter how many times they're flipped, they can rise to fight again.

Highly successful stock pickers go through similar training: They must learn how to cut their losses short. This means selling a stock when it's down 7% or 8% from your purchase price.

Sounds simple, but many investors have learned the hard way how difficult it is to master the most important rule in investing.

No one wants to sell for a loss. It's an admission that you made a mistake. But if you can set your ego aside, you can take a small loss and still be fit enough, both financially and mentally, to invest the next day. Cutting losses quickly prevents you from suffering a devastating fall that's too steep to recover from.

The Mathematics Of Investment Losses

Consider the math. Say you buy a stock at 50. For whatever reason, it drops 8% to 46 during the next few days. You promptly unload it and move on. To reclaim that loss, you need to make an 8.7% gain on your next purchase with your remaining capital, which shouldn't be hard to do.

What if you hold on?

You're sure the stock will snap back. Your research convinces you it's worth $100, so why get scared by a minor setback?

There's one problem. The market doesn't care who you are, what you think, or how much you believe in a stock. It says you miscalculated, at least in the short term — a message that gets louder as the stock drops 25% to 37-1/2. To get back even, now you need a 33% gain, which is much tougher to come by than that easy 8.7%.

What if the market really doesn't like your stock and slices it in half to 25? You don't need a calculator for this one: To recover a 50% loss requires a 100% gain. How many stocks did you pick last year that doubled in price?

You Can Still Win Big With Many Small Losses

A .250 batting average is nothing to crow about. But even the best hitters in baseball fail more than they succeed. Consider Tony Gwynn, who in 1999 became the 21st member of pro baseball's 3,000-hit club. That year, the former San Diego Padres outfielder finished the season with a batting average of .338. That means he was coming up empty nearly two out of three times at the plate.

You likely never saw Gwynn fret after grounding out. The same is true for successful investors. They calmly take a small loss and look for the next potential winner.

So leave your emotions behind. Cutting losses with discipline will help keep your head clear when it's time to return to the market. A great paradox of investing is that the ripest buying opportunities occur just after bear markets — when the major stock averages have declined 20% or more.

That's exactly when most investors who haven't cut their losses are reeling and don't want to be hit again. It's hard to think straight after losing thousands of dollars. But the market always recovers. What kind of shape will you be in?



Here is the article.

Follow up 

Nov. 10, 2023

I had over $20,000 dollars on SABR stock in May, 2023, but SABR went up from $3.0 to $5.7, I should sell those 6000 shares but I chose not to do anything. Because I like to recover $22,000 dollars in 2022 as well. 

I need to go back to relearn this cut loss rule.